提示:担心找不到本站?在百度搜索 PO18脸红心跳 | 也可以直接 收藏本站

第76章 对火星轨道变化问题的最后解释

      作者君在作品相关中其实已经解释过这个问题。
    不过仍然有人质疑——“你说得太含糊了”,“火星轨道的变化比你想象要大得多!”
    那好吧,既然作者君的简单解释不够有力,那咱们就看看严肃的东西,反正这本书写到现在,嚷嚷着本书bug一大堆,用初高中物理在书中挑刺的人也不少。
    以下是文章内容:
    longtermintegrationsandstabilityofplanetaryorbitsinoursolarsystem
    abstract
    wepresenttheresultsofverylongtermnumericalintegrationsofplanetaryorbitalmotionsover109yrtimespansincludingallnineplanets.aquickinspectionofournumericaldatashowsthattheplanetarymotion,atleastinoursimpledynamicalmodel,seemstobequitestableevenoverthisverylongtimespan.acloserlookatthelowestfrequencyoscillationsusingalowpassfiltershowsusthepotentiallydiffusivecharacterofterrestrialplanetarymotion,especiallythatofmercury.thebehaviouroftheeccentricityofmercuryinourintegrationsisqualitativelysimilartotheresultsfromjacqueslaskar'ssecularperturbationtheory(e.g.emax~0.35over~±4gyr).however,therearenoapparentsecularincreasesofeccentricityorinclinationinanyorbitalelementsoftheplanets,whichmayberevealedbystilllongertermnumericalintegrations.wehavealsoperformedacoupleoftrialintegrationsincludingmotionsoftheouterfiveplanetsoverthedurationof±5x1010yr.theresultindicatesthatthethreemajorresonancesintheneptune–plutosystemhavebeenmaintainedoverthe1011yrtimespan.
    1introduction
    1.1definitionoftheproblem
    thequestionofthestabilityofoursolarsystemhasbeendebatedoverseveralhundredyears,sincetheeraofnewton.theproblemhasattractedmanyfamousmathematiciansovertheyearsandhasplayedacentralroleinthedevelopmentofnonlineardynamicsandchaostheory.however,wedonotyethaveadefiniteanswertothequestionofwhetheroursolarsystemisstableornot.thisispartlyaresultofthefactthatthedefinitionoftheterm‘stability’isvaguewhenitisusedinrelationtotheproblemofplanetarymotioninthesolarsystem.actuallyitisnoteasytogiveaclear,rigorousandphysicallymeaningfuldefinitionofthestabilityofoursolarsystem.
    amongmanydefinitionsofstability,hereweadoptthehilldefinition(gladman1993):actuallythisisnotadefinitionofstability,butofinstability.wedefineasystemasbecomingunstablewhenacloseencounteroccurssomewhereinthesystem,startingfromacertaininitialconfiguration(chambers,wetherillitotanikawa1999).asystemisdefinedasexperiencingacloseencounterwhentwobodiesapproachoneanotherwithinanareaofthelargerhillradius.otherwisethesystemisdefinedasbeingstable.henceforwardwestatethatourplanetarysystemisdynamicallystableifnocloseencounterhappensduringtheageofoursolarsystem,about±5gyr.incidentally,thisdefinitionmaybereplacedbyoneinwhichanoccurrenceofanyorbitalcrossingbetweeneitherofapairofplanetstakesplace.thisisbecauseweknowfromexperiencethatanorbitalcrossingisverylikelytoleadtoacloseencounterinplanetaryandprotoplanetarysystems(yoshinaga,kokubomakino1999).ofcoursethisstatementcannotbesimplyappliedtosystemswithstableorbitalresonancessuchastheneptune–plutosystem.
    1.2previousstudiesandaimsofthisresearch
    inadditiontothevaguenessoftheconceptofstability,theplanetsinoursolarsystemshowacharactertypicalofdynamicalchaos(sussmanwisdom1988,1992).thecauseofthischaoticbehaviourisnowpartlyunderstoodasbeingaresultofresonanceoverlapping(murraylecar,franklinholman2001).however,itwouldrequireintegratingoveranensembleofplanetarysystemsincludingallnineplanetsforaperiodcoveringseveral10gyrtothoroughlyunderstandthelongtermevolutionofplanetaryorbits,sincechaoticdynamicalsystemsarecharacterizedbytheirstrongdependenceoninitialconditions.
    fromthatpointofview,manyofthepreviouslongtermnumericalintegrationsincludedonlytheouterfiveplanets(sussmankinoshitanakai1996).thisisbecausetheorbitalperiodsoftheouterplanetsaresomuchlongerthanthoseoftheinnerfourplanetsthatitismucheasiertofollowthesystemforagivenintegrationperiod.atpresent,thelongestnumericalintegrationspublishedinjournalsarethoseofduncanlissauer(1998).althoughtheirmaintargetwastheeffectofpostmainsequencesolarmasslossonthestabilityofplanetaryorbits,theyperformedmanyintegrationscoveringupto~1011yroftheorbitalmotionsofthefourjovianplanets.theinitialorbitalelementsandmassesofplanetsarethesameasthoseofoursolarsysteminduncanlissauer'spaper,buttheydecreasethemassofthesungraduallyintheirnumericalexperiments.thisisbecausetheyconsidertheeffectofpostmainsequencesolarmasslossinthepaper.consequently,theyfoundthatthecrossingtimescaleofplanetaryorbits,whichcanbeatypicalindicatoroftheinstabilitytimescale,isquitesensitivetotherateofmassdecreaseofthesun.whenthemassofthesunisclosetoitspresentvalue,thejovianplanetsremainstableover1010yr,orperhapslonger.duncanlissaueralsoperformedfoursimilarexperimentsontheorbitalmotionofsevenplanets(venustoneptune),whichcoveraspanof~109yr.theirexperimentsonthesevenplanetsarenotyetcomprehensive,butitseemsthattheterrestrialplanetsalsoremainstableduringtheintegrationperiod,maintainingalmostregularoscillations.
    ontheotherhand,inhisaccuratesemianalyticalsecularperturbationtheory(laskar1988),laskarfindsthatlargeandirregularvariationscanappearintheeccentricitiesandinclinationsoftheterrestrialplanets,especiallyofmercuryandmarsonatimescaleofseveral109yr(laskar1996).theresultsoflaskar'ssecularperturbationtheoryshouldbeconfirmedandinvestigatedbyfullynumericalintegrations.
    inthispaperwepresentpreliminaryresultsofsixlongtermnumericalintegrationsonallnineplanetaryorbits,coveringaspanofseveral109yr,andoftwootherintegrationscoveringaspanof±5x1010yr.thetotalelapsedtimeforallintegrationsismorethan5yr,usingseveraldedicatedpcsandworkstations.oneofthefundamentalconclusionsofourlongtermintegrationsisthatsolarsystemplanetarymotionseemstobestableintermsofthehillstabilitymentionedabove,atleastoveratimespanof±4gyr.actually,inournumericalintegrationsthesystemwasfarmorestablethanwhatisdefinedbythehillstabilitycriterion:notonlydidnocloseencounterhappenduringtheintegrationperiod,butalsoalltheplanetaryorbitalelementshavebeenconfinedinanarrowregionbothintimeandfrequencydomain,thoughplanetarymotionsarestochastic.sincethepurposeofthispaperistoexhibitandoverviewtheresultsofourlongtermnumericalintegrations,weshowtypicalexamplefiguresasevidenceoftheverylongtermstabilityofsolarsystemplanetarymotion.forreaderswhohavemorespecificanddeeperinterestsinournumericalresults,wehavepreparedawebpage(access),whereweshowraworbitalelements,theirlowpassfilteredresults,variationofdelaunayelementsandangularmomentumdeficit,andresultsofoursimpletime–frequencyanalysisonallofourintegrations.
    insection2webrieflyexplainourdynamicalmodel,numericalmethodandinitialconditionsusedinourintegrations.section3isdevotedtoadescriptionofthequickresultsofthenumericalintegrations.verylongtermstabilityofsolarsystemplanetarymotionisapparentbothinplanetarypositionsandorbitalelements.aroughestimationofnumericalerrorsisalsogiven.section4goesontoadiscussionofthelongesttermvariationofplanetaryorbitsusingalowpassfilterandincludesadiscussionofangularmomentumdeficit.insection5,wepresentasetofnumericalintegrationsfortheouterfiveplanetsthatspans±5x1010yr.insection6wealsodiscussthelongtermstabilityoftheplanetarymotionanditspossiblecause.
    2descriptionofthenumericalintegrations
    (本部分涉及比较复杂的积分计算,作者君就不贴上来了,贴上来了起点也不一定能成功显示。)
    2.3numericalmethod
    weutilizeasecondorderwisdom–holmansymplecticmapasourmainintegrationmethod(wisdomkinoshita,yoshidanakai1991)withaspecialstartupproceduretoreducethetruncationerrorofanglevariables,‘warmstart’(sahatremaine1992,1994).
    thestepsizeforthenumericalintegrationsis8dthroughoutallintegrationsofthenineplanets(n±1,2,3),whichisabout111oftheorbitalperiodoftheinnermostplanet(mercury).asforthedeterminationofstepsize,wepartlyfollowthepreviousnumericalintegrationofallnineplanetsinsussmanwisdom(1988,7.2d)andsahatremaine(1994,22532d).weroundedthedecimalpartofthetheirstepsizesto8tomakethestepsizeamultipleof2inordertoreducetheaccumulationofroundofferrorinthecomputationprocesses.inrelationtothis,wisdomholman(1991)performednumericalintegrationsoftheouterfiveplanetaryorbitsusingthesymplecticmapwithastepsizeof400d,110.83oftheorbitalperiodofjupiter.theirresultseemstobeaccurateenough,whichpartlyjustifiesourmethodofdeterminingthestepsize.however,sincetheeccentricityofjupiter(~0.05)ismuchsmallerthanthatofmercury(~0.2),weneedsomecarewhenwecomparetheseintegrationssimplyintermsofstepsizes.
    intheintegrationoftheouterfiveplanets(f±),wefixedthestepsizeat400d.
    weadoptgauss'fandgfunctionsinthesymplecticmaptogetherwiththethirdorderhalleymethod(danby1992)asasolverforkeplerequations.thenumberofmaximumiterationswesetinhalley'smethodis15,buttheyneverreachedthemaximuminanyofourintegrations.
    theintervalofthedataoutputis200000d(~547yr)forthecalculationsofallnineplanets(n±1,2,3),andabout8000000d(~21903yr)fortheintegrationoftheouterfiveplanets(f±).
    althoughnooutputfilteringwasdonewhenthenumericalintegrationswereinprocess,weappliedalowpassfiltertotheraworbitaldataafterwehadcompletedallthecalculations.seesection4.1formoredetail.
    2.4errorestimation
    2.4.1relativeerrorsintotalenergyandangularmomentum
    accordingtooneofthebasicpropertiesofsymplecticintegrators,whichconservethephysicallyconservativequantitieswell(totalorbitalenergyandangularmomentum),ourlongtermnumericalintegrationsseemtohavebeenperformedwithverysmallerrors.theaveragedrelativeerrorsoftotalenergy(~10?9)andoftotalangularmomentum(~10?11)haveremainednearlyconstantthroughouttheintegrationperiod(fig.1).thespecialstartupprocedure,warmstart,wouldhavereducedtheaveragedrelativeerrorintotalenergybyaboutoneorderofmagnitudeormore.
    relativenumericalerrorofthetotalangularmomentumδaa0andthetotalenergyδee0inournumericalintegrationsn±1,2,3,whereδeandδaaretheabsolutechangeofthetotalenergyandtotalangularmomentum,respectively,ande0anda0aretheirinitialvalues.thehorizontalunitisgyr.
    notethatdifferentoperatingsystems,differentmathematicallibraries,anddifferenthardwarearchitecturesresultindifferentnumericalerrors,throughthevariationsinroundofferrorhandlingandnumericalalgorithms.intheupperpaneloffig.1,wecanrecognizethissituationinthesecularnumericalerrorinthetotalangularmomentum,whichshouldberigorouslypreserveduptomachineeprecision.
    2.4.2errorinplanetarylongitudes
    sincethesymplecticmapspreservetotalenergyandtotalangularmomentumofnbodydynamicalsystemsinherentlywell,thedegreeoftheirpreservationmaynotbeagoodmeasureoftheaccuracyofnumericalintegrations,especiallyasameasureofthepositionalerrorofplanets,i.e.theerrorinplanetarylongitudes.toestimatethenumericalerrorintheplanetarylongitudes,weperformedthefollowingprocedures.wecomparedtheresultofourmainlongtermintegrationswithsometestintegrations,whichspanmuchshorterperiodsbutwithmuchhigheraccuracythanthemainintegrations.forthispurpose,weperformedamuchmoreaccurateintegrationwithastepsizeof0.125d(164ofthemainintegrations)spanning3x105yr,startingwiththesameinitialconditionsasinthen?1integration.weconsiderthatthistestintegrationprovidesuswitha‘pseudotrue’solutionofplanetaryorbitalevolution.next,wecomparethetestintegrationwiththemainintegration,n?1.fortheperiodof3x105yr,weseeadifferenceinmeananomaliesoftheearthbetweenthetwointegrationsof~0.52°(inthecaseofthen?1integration).thisdifferencecanbeextrapolatedtothevalue~8700°,about25rotationsofearthafter5gyr,sincetheerroroflongitudesincreaseslinearlywithtimeinthesymplecticmap.similarly,thelongitudeerrorofplutocanbeestimatedas~12°.thisvalueforplutoismuchbetterthantheresultinkinoshitanakai(1996)wherethedifferenceisestimatedas~60°.
    3numericalresults–i.glanceattherawdata
    inthissectionwebrieflyreviewthelongtermstabilityofplanetaryorbitalmotionthroughsomesnapshotsofrawnumericaldata.theorbitalmotionofplanetsindicateslongtermstabilityinallofournumericalintegrations:noorbitalcrossingsnorcloseencountersbetweenanypairofplanetstookplace.
    3.1generaldescriptionofthestabilityofplanetaryorbits
    first,webrieflylookatthegeneralcharacterofthelongtermstabilityofplanetaryorbits.ourinterestherefocusesparticularlyontheinnerfourterrestrialplanetsforwhichtheorbitaltimescalesaremuchshorterthanthoseoftheouterfiveplanets.aswecanseeclearlyfromtheplanarorbitalconfigurationsshowninfigs2and3,orbitalpositionsoftheterrestrialplanetsdifferlittlebetweentheinitialandfinalpartofeachnumericalintegration,whichspansseveralgyr.thesolidlinesdenotingthepresentorbitsoftheplanetsliealmostwithintheswarmofdotseveninthefinalpartofintegrations(b)and(d).thisindicatesthatthroughouttheentireintegrationperiodthealmostregularvariationsofplanetaryorbitalmotionremainnearlythesameastheyareatpresent.
    verticalviewofthefourinnerplanetaryorbits(fromthezaxisdirection)attheinitialandfinalpartsoftheintegrationsn±1.theaxesunitsareau.thexyplaneissettotheinvariantplaneofsolarsystemtotalangularmomentum.(a)theinitialpartofn+1(t=0to0.0547x109yr).(b)thefinalpartofn+1(t=4.9339x108to4.9886x109yr).(c)theinitialpartofn?1(t=0to?0.0547x109yr).(d)thefinalpartofn?1(t=?3.9180x109to?3.9727x109yr).ineachpanel,atotalof23684pointsareplottedwithanintervalofabout2190yrover5.47x107yr.solidlinesineachpaneldenotethepresentorbitsofthefourterrestrialplanets(takenfromde245).
    thevariationofeccentricitiesandorbitalinclinationsfortheinnerfourplanetsintheinitialandfinalpartoftheintegrationn+1isshowninfig.4.asexpected,thecharacterofthevariationofplanetaryorbitalelementsdoesnotdiffersignificantlybetweentheinitialandfinalpartofeachintegration,atleastforvenus,earthandmars.theelementsofmercury,especiallyitseccentricity,seemtochangetoasignificantextent.thisispartlybecausetheorbitaltimescaleoftheplanetistheshortestofalltheplanets,whichleadstoamorerapidorbitalevolutionthanotherplanets;theinnermostplanetmaybenearesttoinstability.thisresultappearstobeinsomeagreementwithlaskar's(1994,1996)expectationsthatlargeandirregularvariationsappearintheeccentricitiesandinclinationsofmercuryonatimescaleofseveral109yr.however,theeffectofthepossibleinstabilityoftheorbitofmercurymaynotfatallyaffecttheglobalstabilityofthewholeplanetarysystemowingtothesmallmassofmercury.wewillmentionbrieflythelongtermorbitalevolutionofmercurylaterinsection4usinglowpassfilteredorbitalelements.
    theorbitalmotionoftheouterfiveplanetsseemsrigorouslystableandquiteregularoverthistimespan(seealsosection5).
    3.2time–frequencymaps
    althoughtheplanetarymotionexhibitsverylongtermstabilitydefinedasthenonexistenceofcloseencounterevents,thechaoticnatureofplanetarydynamicscanchangetheoscillatoryperiodandamplitudeofplanetaryorbitalmotiongraduallyoversuchlongtimespans.evensuchslightfluctuationsoforbitalvariationinthefrequencydomain,particularlyinthecaseofearth,canpotentiallyhaveasignificanteffectonitssurfaceclimatesystemthroughsolarinsolationvariation(cf.berger1988).
    togiveanoverviewofthelongtermchangeinperiodicityinplanetaryorbitalmotion,weperformedmanyfastfouriertransformations(ffts)alongthetimeaxis,andsuperposedtheresultingperiodgramstodrawtwodimensionaltime–frequencymaps.thespecificapproachtodrawingthesetime–frequencymapsinthispaperisverysimple–muchsimplerthanthewaveletanalysisorlaskar's(1990,1993)frequencyanalysis.
    dividethelowpassfilteredorbitaldataintomanyfragmentsofthesamelenh.thelenhofeachdatasegmentshouldbeamultipleof2inordertoapplythefft.
    eachfragmentofthedatahasalargeoverlappingpart:forexample,whentheithdatabeginsfromt=tiandendsatt=ti+t,thenextdatasegmentrangesfromti+δt≤ti+δt+t,whereδt?t.wecontinuethisdivisionuntilwereachacertainnumbernbywhichtn+treachesthetotalintegrationlenh.
    weapplyanffttoeachofthedatafragments,andobtainnfrequencydiagrams.
    ineachfrequencydiagramobtainedabove,thestrenhofperiodicitycanbereplacedbyagreyscale(orcolour)chart.
    weperformthereplacement,andconnectallthegreyscale(orcolour)chartsintoonegraphforeachintegration.thehorizontalaxisofthesenewgraphsshouldbethetime,i.e.thestartingtimesofeachfragmentofdata(ti,wherei=1,…,n).theverticalaxisrepresentstheperiod(orfrequency)oftheoscillationoforbitalelements.
    wehaveadoptedanfftbecauseofitsoverwhelmingspeed,sincetheamountofnumericaldatatobedecomposedintofrequencycomponentsisterriblyhuge(severaltensofgbytes).
    atypicalexampleofthetime–frequencymapcreatedbytheaboveproceduresisshowninagreyscalediagramasfig.5,whichshowsthevariationofperiodicityintheeccentricityandinclinationofearthinn+2integration.infig.5,thedarkareashowsthatatthetimeindicatedbythevalueontheabscissa,theperiodicityindicatedbytheordinateisstrongerthaninthelighterareaaroundit.wecanrecognizefromthismapthattheperiodicityoftheeccentricityandinclinationofearthonlychangesslightlyovertheentireperiodcoveredbythen+2integration.thisnearlyregulartrendisqualitativelythesameinotherintegrationsandforotherplanets,althoughtypicalfrequenciesdifferplanetbyplanetandelementbyelement.
    4.2longtermexchangeoforbitalenergyandangularmomentum
    wecalculateverylongperiodicvariationandexchangeofplanetaryorbitalenergyandangularmomentumusingfiltereddelaunayelementsl,g,h.gandhareequivalenttotheplanetaryorbitalangularmomentumanditsverticalcomponentperunitmass.lisrelatedtotheplanetaryorbitalenergyeperunitmassase=?μ22l2.ifthesystemiscompletelylinear,theorbitalenergyandtheangularmomentumineachfrequencybinmustbeconstant.nonlinearityintheplanetarysystemcancauseanexchangeofenergyandangularmomentuminthefrequencydomain.theamplitudeofthelowestfrequencyoscillationshouldincreaseifthesystemisunstableandbreaksdowngradually.however,suchasymptomofinstabilityisnotprominentinourlongtermintegrations.
    infig.7,thetotalorbitalenergyandangularmomentumofthefourinnerplanetsandallnineplanetsareshownforintegrationn+2.theupperthreepanelsshowthelongperiodicvariationoftotalenergy(denotedasee0),totalangularmomentum(gg0),andtheverticalcomponent(hh0)oftheinnerfourplanetscalculatedfromthelowpassfiltereddelaunayelements.e0,g0,h0denotetheinitialvaluesofeachquantity.theabsolutedifferencefromtheinitialvaluesisplottedinthepanels.thelowerthreepanelsineachfigureshowee0,gg0andhh0ofthetotalofnineplanets.thefluctuationshowninthelowerpanelsisvirtuallyentirelyaresultofthemassivejovianplanets.
    comparingthevariationsofenergyandangularmomentumoftheinnerfourplanetsandallnineplanets,itisapparentthattheamplitudesofthoseoftheinnerplanetsaremuchsmallerthanthoseofallnineplanets:theamplitudesoftheouterfiveplanetsaremuchlargerthanthoseoftheinnerplanets.thisdoesnotmeanthattheinnerterrestrialplanetarysubsystemismorestablethantheouterone:thisissimplyaresultoftherelativesmallnessofthemassesofthefourterrestrialplanetscomparedwiththoseoftheouterjovianplanets.anotherthingwenoticeisthattheinnerplanetarysubsystemmaybecomeunstablemorerapidlythantheouteronebecauseofitsshorterorbitaltimescales.thiscanbeseeninthepanelsdenotedasinner4infig.7wherethelongerperiodicandirregularoscillationsaremoreapparentthaninthepanelsdenotedastotal9.actually,thefluctuationsintheinner4panelsaretoalargeextentasaresultoftheorbitalvariationofthemercury.however,wecannotneglectthecontributionfromotherterrestrialplanets,aswewillseeinsubsequentsections.
    4.4longtermcouplingofseveralneighbouringplanetpairs
    letusseesomeindividualvariationsofplanetaryorbitalenergyandangularmomentumexpressedbythelowpassfiltereddelaunayelements.figs10and11showlongtermevolutionoftheorbitalenergyofeachplanetandtheangularmomentuminn+1andn?2integrations.wenoticethatsomeplanetsformapparentpairsintermsoforbitalenergyandangularmomentumexchange.inparticular,venusandearthmakeatypicalpair.inthefigures,theyshownegativecorrelationsinexchangeofenergyandpositivecorrelationsinexchangeofangularmomentum.thenegativecorrelationinexchangeoforbitalenergymeansthatthetwoplanetsformacloseddynamicalsystemintermsoftheorbitalenergy.thepositivecorrelationinexchangeofangularmomentummeansthatthetwoplanetsaresimultaneouslyundercertainlongtermperturbations.candidatesforperturbersarejupiterandsaturn.alsoinfig.11,wecanseethatmarsshows'itivecorrelationintheangularmomentumvariationtothevenus–earthsystem.mercuryexhibitscertainnegativecorrelationsintheangularmomentumversusthevenus–earthsystem,whichseemstobeareactioncausedbytheconservationofangularmomentumintheterrestrialplanetarysubsystem.
    itisnotclearatthemomentwhythevenus–earthpairexhibitsanegativecorrelationinenergyexchangeand'itivecorrelationinangularmomentumexchange.wemaypossiblyexplainthisthroughobservingthegeneralfactthattherearenoseculartermsinplanetarysemimajoraxesuptosecondorderperturbationtheories(cf.brouwerboccalettipucacco1998).thismeansthattheplanetaryorbitalenergy(whichisdirectlyrelatedtothesemimajoraxisa)mightbemuchlessaffectedbyperturbingplanetsthanistheangularmomentumexchange(whichrelatestoe).hence,theeccentricitiesofvenusandearthcanbedisturbedeasilybyjupiterandsaturn,whichresultsin'itivecorrelationintheangularmomentumexchange.ontheotherhand,thesemimajoraxesofvenusandeartharelesslikelytobedisturbedbythejovianplanets.thustheenergyexchangemaybelimitedonlywithinthevenus–earthpair,whichresultsinanegativecorrelationintheexchangeoforbitalenergyinthepair.
    asfortheouterjovianplanetarysubsystem,jupiter–saturnanduranus–neptuneseemtomakedynamicalpairs.however,thestrenhoftheircouplingisnotasstrongcomparedwiththatofthevenus–earthpair.
    5±5x1010yrintegrationsofouterplanetaryorbits
    sincethejovianplanetarymassesaremuchlargerthantheterrestrialplanetarymasses,wetreatthejovianplanetarysystemasanindependentplanetarysystemintermsofthestudyofitsdynamicalstability.hence,weaddedacoupleoftrialintegrationsthatspan±5x1010yr,includingonlytheouterfiveplanets(thefourjovianplanetspluspluto).theresultsexhibittherigorousstabilityoftheouterplanetarysystemoverthislongtimespan.orbitalconfigurations(fig.12),andvariationofeccentricitiesandinclinations(fig.13)showthisverylongtermstabilityoftheouterfiveplanetsinboththetimeandthefrequencydomains.althoughwedonotshowmapshere,thetypicalfrequencyoftheorbitaloscillationofplutoandtheotherouterplanetsisalmostconstantduringtheseverylongtermintegrationperiods,whichisdemonstratedinthetime–frequencymapsonourwebpage.
    inthesetwointegrations,therelativenumericalerrorinthetotalenergywas~10?6andthatofthetotalangularmomentumwas~10?10.
    5.1resonancesintheneptune–plutosystem
    kinoshitanakai(1996)integratedtheouterfiveplanetaryorbitsover±5.5x109yr.theyfoundthatfourmajorresonancesbetweenneptuneandplutoaremaintainedduringthewholeintegrationperiod,andthattheresonancesmaybethemaincausesofthestabilityoftheorbitofpluto.themajorfourresonancesfoundinpreviousresearchareasfollows.inthefollowingdescription,λdenotesthemeanlongitude,Ωisthelongitudeoftheascendingnodeand?isthelongitudeofperihelion.subscriptspandndenoteplutoandneptune.
    meanmotionresonancebetweenneptuneandpluto(3:2).thecriticalargumentθ1=3λp?2λn??plibratesaround180°withanamplitudeofabout80°andalibrationperiodofabout2x104yr.
    theargumentofperihelionofplutowp=θ2=?p?Ωplibratesaround90°withaperiodofabout3.8x106yr.thedominantperiodicvariationsoftheeccentricityandinclinationofplutoaresynchronizedwiththelibrationofitsargumentofperihelion.thisisanticipatedinthesecularperturbationtheoryconstructedbykozai(1962).
    thelongitudeofthenodeofplutoreferredtothelongitudeofthenodeofneptune,θ3=Ωp?Ωn,circulatesandtheperiodofthiscirculationisequaltotheperiodofθ2libration.whenθ3becomeszero,i.e.thelongitudesofascendingnodesofneptuneandplutooverlap,theinclinationofplutobecomesmaximum,theeccentricitybecomesminimumandtheargumentofperihelionbecomes90°.whenθ3becomes180°,theinclinationofplutobecomesminimum,theeccentricitybecomesmaximumandtheargumentofperihelionbecomes90°again.williamsbenson(1971)anticipatedthistypeofresonance,laterconfirmedbymilani,nobilicarpino(1989).
    anargumentθ4=?p??n+3(Ωp?Ωn)libratesaround180°withalongperiod,~5.7x108yr.
    inournumericalintegrations,theresonances(i)–(iii)arewellmaintained,andvariationofthecriticalargumentsθ1,θ2,θ3remainsimilarduringthewholeintegrationperiod(figs14–16).however,thefourthresonance(iv)appearstobedifferent:thecriticalargumentθ4alternateslibrationandcirculationovera1010yrtimescale(fig.17).thisisaninterestingfactthatkinoshitanakai's(1995,1996)shorterintegrationswerenotabletodisclose.
    6discussion
    whatkindofdynamicalmechanismmaintainsthislongtermstabilityoftheplanetarysystem?wecanimmediatelythinkoftwomajorfeaturesthatmayberesponsibleforthelongtermstability.first,thereseemtobenosignificantlowerorderresonances(meanmotionandsecular)betweenanypairamongthenineplanets.jupiterandsaturnareclosetoa5:2meanmotionresonance(thefamous‘greatinequality’),butnotjustintheresonancezone.higherorderresonancesmaycausethechaoticnatureoftheplanetarydynamicalmotion,buttheyarenotsostrongastodestroythestableplanetarymotionwithinthelifetimeoftherealsolarsystem.thesecondfeature,whichwethinkismoreimportantforthelongtermstabilityofourplanetarysystem,isthedifferenceindynamicaldistancebetweenterrestrialandjovianplanetarysubsystems(itotanikawa1999,2001).whenwemeasureplanetaryseparationsbythemutualhillradii(r_),separationsamongterrestrialplanetsaregreaterthan26rh,whereasthoseamongjovianplanetsarelessthan14rh.thisdifferenceisdirectlyrelatedtothedifferencebetweendynamicalfeaturesofterrestrialandjovianplanets.terrestrialplanetshavesmallermasses,shorterorbitalperiodsandwiderdynamicalseparation.theyarestronglyperturbedbyjovianplanetsthathavelargermasses,longerorbitalperiodsandnarrowerdynamicalseparation.jovianplanetsarenotperturbedbyanyothermassivebodies.
    thepresentterrestrialplanetarysystemisstillbeingdisturbedbythemassivejovianplanets.however,thewideseparationandmutualinteractionamongtheterrestrialplanetsrendersthedisturbanceineffective;thedegreeofdisturbancebyjovianplanetsiso(ej)(orderofmagnitudeoftheeccentricityofjupiter),sincethedisturbancecausedbyjovianplanetsisaforcedoscillationhavinganamplitudeofo(ej).heighteningofeccentricity,forexampleo(ej)~0.05,isfarfromsufficienttoprovokeinstabilityintheterrestrialplanetshavingsuchawideseparationas26rh.thusweassumethatthepresentwidedynamicalseparationamongterrestrialplanets(;26rh)isprobablyoneofthemostsignificantconditionsformaintainingthestabilityoftheplanetarysystemovera109yrtimespan.ourdetailedanalysisoftherelationshipbetweendynamicaldistancebetweenplanetsandtheinstabilitytimescaleofsolarsystemplanetarymotionisnowongoing.
    althoughournumericalintegrationsspanthelifetimeofthesolarsystem,thenumberofintegrationsisfarfromsufficienttofilltheinitialphasespace.itisnecessarytoperformmoreandmorenumericalintegrationstoconfirmandexamineindetailthelongtermstabilityofourplanetarydynamics.
    ——以上文段引自ito,t.tanikawa,k.longtermintegrationsandstabilityofplanetaryorbitsinoursolarsystem.mon.not.r.astron.soc.336,483–500(2002)
    这只是作者君参考的一篇文章,关于太阳系的稳定性。
    还有其他论文,不过也都是英文的,相关课题的中文文献很少,那些论文下载一篇要九美元(《nature》真是暴利),作者君写这篇文章的时候已经回家,不在检测中心,所以没有数据库的使用权,下不起,就不贴上来了。